HW#7

Death: Once a Upon a time there was a merchant in Baghdad who sent his servant to the market to buys a provisions and in a little while the servant came back, white and trembling, and said, Master, just now when I was in the market-place i was jostled by a woman in the crowd and when I turned I saw it was death that josled me. She looked at me and made a threatening gesture; now, please lend me your horse, and I will ride away from this city and avoid my fate. I will go to Samarra and there death will not find me. The merchant lent him his horse and the servant mounted it, and he dug his spurs in its flanks and as fast as the horse could gallop he went. Then the merchant went down to the market-place and he saw me standing in the crowd and he came to me and said, Why did you make threatening gesture to my servant when you saw him this morning? That was not threatening gesture, i said, it was only start of surprise. I was astonished to see him in Bagdad, for I had an appointment with him to-night in Samarra
                         -- From W.Somerset Maugham, Sheppey, 1933

Predictions, especially prediction that associates with our existence, our society normality, catastrophes of some kind, always have been very important place in the psyche of the human race. Ancient and modern societies always been similarly fascinated by prophecies, curiosity about the future. From early days, people believed in prophet which connotes any individual who speaks for God or the gods, who serves as mouthpiece for divinity. In fact, from the days of the Delphic oracles, to the Roman vestal virgins, to the Revelation of St.John to Nostradamus, prophecies were invariably so convoluted, ambiguous and murky that few could interpret them until after they were fulfilled-but strange thing is they were always fulfilled.
for example:
According to Nostradamus

Sonsg, chants and slogans of the Slavic people
While princes and Lord are captive in the prisons
In the future, by idiots without heads
Will be received as divine oracles.

Nostradamus interpreters who found this quatrains was a predictions of 1917 Russian revolution. Some say the way he writes this quatrains in so strange, is because of understanding future figures and items was very difficult. But he tried all his best to make meaning out of what he saw in his vision.

So what is our time prophet? Where are they? who are they?

The ancient time, prophets were known to have supernatural power to travel to future, to warn society from major catastrophes etc, but it was the government authorities who asks the questions and rely on their answers. But most of the times we realize right after when catastrophic event happened, destroyed some amount of damage in society, economy and population.
     It took a long time for science and computers to be well accepted as new revolution of information. Government authorities started rely on scientists, who are making computations to analyze systems and trying to predict what will happen in the future. Prediction of almost anything such as economic, weather forecast, the depletion of the ozone layer, the greenhouse effect and earthquakes.




Citation

Heavens are falling down By Walter J. Karplus

 2) The concept of collection data, observing and making a system.
I would collect data preferable similar to my idea done with forethought in a well organized way, or systematic manner to step up to next level

By collecting data, i can have very clear image what it could be inside outside. May be i can use the model to predict something new. predict doesn't only mean telling future right?

Most importantly I need to make sure will it be successful or partially successful or not.