I have designed this question because in movie Matrix they have something in their brain and they can learn anything in mil second through inserting something into their brain(just like USB flash driver but directly to our brain) . And I thought May be in reality people might receive data or may be one day it will become things that we perceive things in our life.
first attempt 2800, 2500, 2450, average was 2500
second attempt 2500, 2890, 2650. average was 2650.
2. Read up on the Delphi method on the Web (or the library, if you remember what those are - they still have useful stuff not available on-line!). Explain how the process that we went through in class differs from the process as described in the sources you found.
Delphi Method is is a systematic, interactive forecasting method which relies on a panel of experts. The experts answer questionnaires in two or more rounds. After each round, a facilitator provides an anonymous summary of the experts’ forecasts from the previous round as well as the reasons they provided for their judgments. Thus, experts are encouraged to revise their earlier answers in light of the replies of other members of their panel. It is believed that during this process the range of the answers will decrease and the group will converge towards the "correct" answer. Finally, the process is stopped after a pre-defined stop criterion (e.g. number of rounds, achievement of consensus, stability of results) and the mean or median scores of the final rounds determine the results
3. Based on what you find out about the Delphi method, what shortcomings, risks, or other weaknesses do you see for the process that we followed in class? Also do you see a way to fix some of these?
Deplhi method doesn't have accurate stable result. Sometimes participating group can mis assume about the years. I don't know the way to fix it.